Election Countdown
Delhi Assembly elections expected in February 2025 are shaping up as an intense battle, with the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) defending its government against a resurgent BJP seeking to end Arvind Kejriwal's decade-long hold on the national capital.
Current Scenario
Political landscape:
2020 Results
| Party | Seats |
|---|---|
| AAP | 62 |
| BJP | 8 |
| Congress | 0 |
| Total | 70 |
Current Status
AAP governing since 2015; third term bid.
Key Contenders
Party positions:
AAP Strategy
| Element | Approach |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Kejriwal central |
| Message | Work in government |
| Issues | Education, health |
| Challenge | Liquor policy case |
BJP Strategy
| Element | Approach |
|---|---|
| Leadership | Central leaders active |
| Message | Corruption, governance |
| Issues | Development, security |
| Opportunity | Anti-incumbency |
Key Issues
What voters are discussing:
Election Themes
| Issue | Salience |
|---|---|
| Corruption allegations | High |
| Education | Strong AAP record |
| Healthcare | AAP accomplishment |
| Pollution | Ongoing crisis |
| Water/sewage | Infrastructure |
| Law and order | BJP talking point |
Liquor Policy Shadow
The corruption case impact:
Case Context
| Development | Status |
|---|---|
| Kejriwal arrest | Bail granted |
| CBI/ED cases | Ongoing |
| Political impact | Divided opinion |
| AAP narrative | Political vendetta |
| BJP narrative | Corruption proof |
Campaign Mode
Election activities:
Activities
- Rallies intensifying
- Door-to-door contact
- Social media wars
- Scheme announcements
- Celebrity campaigns
Congress Factor
Third party dynamics:
Congress Position
| Aspect | Status |
|---|---|
| Local strength | Weak |
| INDIA bloc | Dilemma |
| Candidates | Fielding |
| Vote share | Uncertain impact |
Voter Demographics
Delhi electorate:
Composition
| Group | Numbers |
|---|---|
| Total voters | ~1.5 crore |
| New voters | Significant |
| Urban | Majority |
| Migrant origin | Large |
PM Modi Effect
Central leadership involvement:
BJP Deployment
- PM rallies expected
- Min Amit Shah active
- Central schemes highlighting
- "Double engine" message
- Modi charisma factor
AAP Defense
Kejriwal's campaign:
Key Messages
- Work speaks for itself
- Schools transformed
- Mohalla clinics success
- Free electricity/water
- Victimhood narrative
Opinion Polls
Early indications:
Polling Trends
| Survey | Edge |
|---|---|
| Various polls | Competitive race |
| Trend | BJP improved |
| AAP base | Solid |
| Outcome | Uncertain |
Looking Ahead
Election timeline:
Key Dates
| Event | Expected |
|---|---|
| Announcement | January 2025 |
| Nominations | Following |
| Voting | February 2025 |
| Results | February 2025 |
Delhi 2025 will be a crucial test for AAP's survival as a national political force and BJP's ability to capture India's capital.
